In this use case, BMW Foundation Herbert Quandt demonstrates the power of the Three Horizons model in fostering innovative, nature-positive solutions for a sustainable future.

Summary of Use:

Lead Organization/Sponsor: BMW Foundation Herbert Quandt

This use case demonstrates the application of the Three Horizons model to foster nature-positive solutions, aimed at transitioning from the prevailing extractive and nature-negative systems (H1) to a regenerative and sustainable future (H3). The purpose is to explore strategies for creating the enabling conditions needed for nature-positive solutions, thereby promoting responsible leadership and systems change across sectors that currently contribute to environmental degradation.

Purpose/Context

The prevailing economic system, characterized by short-term thinking and linear exploitation of resources, has led to significant environmental and social crises. This includes the crossing of six out of nine planetary boundaries, such as biosphere integrity and climate change. The use case emphasizes the importance of maintaining certain H1 systems (e.g., food and water security) during the transition while supporting innovations that will enable the emergence of a regenerative future in H3. This application is situated within the broader context of the BMW Foundation’s RESPOND Accelerator program, focusing on responsible leadership and regenerative solutions.

Use Experience:

The Three Horizons model was used to analyze how nature-positive innovations (H2) could serve as bridges between current unsustainable practices and future regenerative systems. The model allowed stakeholders to assess which components of H1 should be rapidly phased out (e.g., unsustainable agricultural and fishing practices) and which should be retained temporarily to avoid societal collapse (e.g., food production systems). The second horizon (H2) introduced innovations such as circular economy models and regenerative agriculture, helping stakeholders navigate the transition by identifying H2+ innovations that contribute to long-term systemic change.

Impact:

The application of the Three Horizons model provided structured insights into the transition pathway toward nature-positive solutions. It facilitated discussions among leaders in various sectors, fostering a deeper understanding of the tensions and dilemmas involved in the shift from H1 to H3. The model encouraged the development of actionable strategies for scaling nature-positive solutions, promoting more sustainable and equitable decision-making processes. By highlighting both short-term and long-term approaches, the Three Horizons framework supported the vision of a regenerative economy that works in harmony with natural systems, ultimately contributing to the stabilisation of planetary boundaries.